When you’ve got a chainsaw, you cut down a tree.
And when you’ve got control of monetary and fiscal policy… you go to work on an economy.
In both cases, you leave them in pieces.
The difference between the next crash and the last two is that this time, the feds have less room to maneuver. At the end of an expansion cycle, like the one America has had for almost ten years, the federal government should be running a surplus.
That’s the whole idea of countercyclical fiscal policy. When the economy is hot, you’re supposed to be cool, with budget surpluses. When the economy cools off, you then heat it up with more spending.
But currently, the U.S. government is conducting a pro-cyclical fiscal experiment.
It’s late in the expansion cycle, but it’s already borrowing heavily, with annual deficits already programmed to reach $2 trillion by 2028. And that’s without a crash or a recession.
Good luck with that.
Meanwhile, over at the Fed, another knuckleheaded experiment is going on. It has left real rates (adjusted for inflation) below zero for nearly a decade, even though a recovery, such as it was, began in 2009.
This, too, is unprecedented… and almost surely disastrous.
That, of course, is what we’re waiting to find out.
But what we’ve been looking at lately is how the dots connect, in a straight line – from Bad Guy Theory… to the Deep State… to the Empire… thence to bankruptcy, chaos, and catastrophe.